"The really damning part of Antimonic’s modeling of the reported data with a quadratic formula is that this should be impossible. This is not how epidemics work."
- @EpsilonTheory, who has been on top of the China covid-19 numbers story for two months
RT @EpsilonTheory: I think China is massively under-reporting infection data in Hubei and Zhejiang.
Just like the US massively over-reported North Vietnamese casualty data in the Vietnam War.
It's what the Best and the Brightest always do ... and it always fails.
RT @GKBoris: Most agree that the official Chinese #coronavirus numbers do not correlate to the shocking images we see on social media.
Our own media is blatantly copying the Chinese narrative. The WHO is copying that narrative too. This is why...
Good post that calls the official Chinese numbers into question, comparing them to Vietnam-era body counts.
Best evidence: a curve fit several days ago did indeed closely predict reported deaths.
Rest-of-world numbers at JHU are likely more reliable.