So far, we know the only "cure" against the spread of the virus. Quarantine. If China is unable to significantly increase its testing capacity, we can expect a gradual isolation of China, including the transport of goods. This will have a huge economic impact on the world. In China, this can lead to global unrests, shocks and system changes.
Agree. I saw this interesting article:
Interesting findings: 2/3 men : 1/3 female, 30% complication rate
>The researchers based the study on 99 patients – 67 men and 32 women – admitted to the Wuhan hospital from January 1 to 20. It found that almost half of them were infected in clusters, though Chinese health authorities only confirmed that cases were being transmitted between humans on January 21.
>“We observed a greater number of men than women in the 99 cases of 2019-nCoV infection. Mers-CoV and Sars-CoV have also been found to infect more males than females,” the study said, referring to Middle East respiratory syndrome and severe acute respiratory syndrome, which are also coronaviruses.
[Men may be more prone to coronavirus than women, Chinese study finds](https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3048295/men-may-be-more-prone-coronavirus-women-chinese-study-finds)
You cannot determine fatality rate until the disease has stopped spreading and everybody who had it has either died or recovered. Also, fatality rate is a measure of average, while the fatality rate in western world might be 1%, it might be 10% in countries like India and china, which will eventually drive the final global fatality rate higher.
Stop saying the fatality rate is around 2 and trying to draw conclusions from that number. We have no fucking clue what it is.
It is really confusing because people can take up to two weeks to die after they first show symptoms. If you add on the two weeks of dormancy, it takes at least a month to figure out who survives. The virus was only noted mid-Decemberish, so there isn't enough data and people are too busy trying not to get ill to wait and find out. Also with Governments (cough cough) covering up the facts to prevent panic, it is causing more panic. The massive quarantine makes you think the low fatality figures just aren't real.
SARS infected 9,000 people IN A YEAR. Coronavirus over took that number in a matter of days, SARS maybe more deadly but this virus will infect more people, in turn causing more fatalities. If you don’t know, get to know scrub.
They were on top of SARS earlier. To be honest, this outbreak lets me know just how much we dodged a bullet back then. If it had festered for several weeks first, it might have killed a hundred million or more.
I do think this will cause far, far more fatalities than SARS. It's not going to bring civilization to its knees, though.
You shouldn't be downvoted for this, because you're right. I'm speculating as much as anyone, but we have to admit that we're speculating based on a number of unknown factors.
One of those factors is how this might have played out differently if it had been recognized as a serious threat in mid-December instead of mid-January.
Okay well let’s take this virus for example, 50 million people, a whole city quarantined and yet it still got around the whole world and this might not even be the most infectious disease and the city of wuhan was quarantined pretty quickly. Before you speak think a little.
I'd argue this is actually an extremely poor use of log scale, as far as intuitive grasp of the situation goes. The difference between a disease that kills off up to 3 %, and the disease that kills of 10 % is only a tiny stretch of white space in such a graph, but it's actually a huge difference in practice considering the relative impact. Even ebola seems only moderately worse in this graph, yet it's at least 15 times more deadly in reality.
You have to kind of disregard the sizes and positions, and just look at the numbers and rescale the graph in your head to try and put it into perspective. In proper linear graph, the huge uncertainty of the disease's mortality would would mean that it appears as a tiny sliver reaching almost all the way to the bottom axis. We simply don't know if the impact is going to be like 0.1 % to 3 %, which explains blase reactions people have from business as usual to worries about having the new spanish flu at our hands.
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This graphic is already outdated. The virus has proven itself to be far more contagious than SARS already. This graphic has the maximum estimated contagiousness range to be approximately what SARS was.