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https://twitter.com/corefeehelper
The current minimum fee is still $0.03. Less with segwit.
There are technical solutions to the fee problems on channel cloasure during a fee bull market. Simply CPFP the closing TXN out of the mempool. Yes, this solution is technical, and yes most don't know how to do it, but it is a good solution that will work.
Without high on-chain fees, using Lightning isn't really an attractive proposition, as there's just more complexity for very little benefit, just to save on a few dollars here and there.
There was a small window where Bitcoin could have blossomed as a tool for payments, but it got stifled, and the culture very much changed to focus more on investing. The average Bitcoiner now just buys coins on an exchange, and either keeps them on there, or moves them to their own wallet. That's generally the extent of their interaction with the blockchain. These types of users aren't really interested in spending their coins often, and the few times they do, doing it onchain is so much simpler, as they're spending from savings in a normal wallet and don't want to have to fund a separate balance on a hot LN wallet, open a channel, and then worry about liquidity issues. Spending BTC is also not ideal tax wise in a lot of jurisdictions.
I can't really see Lightning getting massive onboarding anytime soon, at least not in the next 5 years. Especially once native Segwit and Schnorr signatures take off and we get to squeeze out a bit more capacity onchain. Lightning is relying on an imagined tidal wave of incoming adoption in order to actually be relevant, but such a wave of consumers are likely going to see Bitcoin as an investment first and foremost, not as a payment tool, so they will have zero interest in using Lightning.
Some people in the Bitcoin community are deluded and want to have their cake and eat it too. Pushing Bitcoin as an investment, and encouraging to never sell, and HODL, and these wild theories about BTC going to $250k next year while at the same time hoping Lightning takes off as a highly popular payment tool for merchants online are two ideas fundamentally at odds with each other. It's possible to have BTC succeed both as an investment and a payment tool, but that requires a massive culture shift in the community and means promoting BTC more as a utility rather than as a stock ticker that's going to give you x10 returns.
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